Hurricane Sandy Likely to Come Ashore... But Where?

The exact path remains a mystery, but forecast models indicate Hurricane Sandy won't just swing out to sea as she heads north.

Is your Halloween costume waterproof?

"There is a consensus forming in weather forecast models that hurricane Sandy is unlikely to go out to sea," according to The Washington Post.

It gets worse.

The Washington Post goes on to report that Sandy will more likely merge with a cold front and transition into a "powerhouse, possibly historic" storm that forecasters expect to make landfall anywhere from the Mid-Atlantic states to northern New England or Canada.

Chris Lambert on the WHDH weather blog reports that it will still be a few days until forecasters can say where Sandy -- or her "hybrid" remnants -- will make landfall, but the pieces of the puzzle are falling into place that would bring a powerful storm to the the Boston area on Monday and Tuesday, with showers lingering into Wednesday.

As a piece of energy rotates in around that buckling jet stream, just at the right time across the eastern U.S., Sandy may actually phase with that upper-level energy and move back toward the coast. As this occurs, Sandy, turns into more of a massive Nor’easter, provides an expanding wind and rain field that produces damaging gusts, flooding rains and coastal flooding over parts of the mid-Atlantic and/or New England anywhere in the Monday-Tuesday timeframe. This scenario is now more likely, and over the next few days, we will be ironing out the details. Although, the timing of all these ingredients coming together has to be precise, so there is still a chance of a miss to the east, but that chance has lowered.

The scenario mentioned above, Lambert continues, would mean winds in the 50-60mph range, with hurricane force (74mph-plus) gusts at the coast, beach erosion, both coastal and inland flooding from torrential rain, and widespread power outages due to wind and downed tree branches.

If Sandy's path shifts into the Mid-Atlantic states or further north into the Maritimes, Lambert reports, the impact in this area would be much less severe.

The exact impact of Sandy remains unknown, but it's not too early to prepare. The Rhode Island Emergency Management Agency offers these hurricane preparedness tips.

Patch will continue to provide updates on the Sandy situation as they become available. Want to be e-mailed when we post new weather alerts, watches or warnings? Click the "keep me posted!" button below.

Carla Moore October 25, 2012 at 06:04 PM
Yikes! We have airplane tickets to fly out to Florida on Tuesday morning.
Stephen Greenwell October 25, 2012 at 06:24 PM
Carla, I hope this is just the usual panic and anxiety before a storm that turns out to be harmless, but you never know. We have seemingly had pretty active weather the past five years, between the monsoon storms of March in 2010, the 20-inch snowstorm later that year and the hurricane last year.
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